Samawi Earnings Research and Estimates

We conduct proprietary earnings research for U.S. Stocks and provide a concise one page summary report which includes the following information:

Our own estimate for current quarterly earnings & revenues for a specific company
Comparison of our last quarterly earnings & revenues estimate (where available) vs. actual operational earnings & revenues reported and market consensus
2.5 Years historical overview of actual quarterly earnings & revenues released vs. market consensus earnings & revenues estimates and company guidance
Summary statistics for frequency of exceeding or missing estimates, with average exceedance & average miss
2.5 Years historical overview of stock price change 1 day, 1 week and 1 month following earnings release
Summary statistics for frequency of 1-day, 1 week and 1 month stock price appreciation and depreciation following quarterly earnings release, with average appreciation & average depreciation

Available Earnings Research

Apple, Inc. Q4 2013 (Quarter ending 09/30/2013)

Apple, Inc. Q1 2013 (Quarter ending 12/31/2012)

Apple, Inc. Q4 2012 (Quarter ending 09/30/2012)

Latest Articles by Bachar Samawi

Oil & Apple Mix In Boosting U.S. Economy

By: Bachar Samawi

December 9, 2014 11:12:44

In November 2012 we published the article "Obama Win Effect: Cash-Rich Companies Will Lead Economic Boom", whereby we predicted that U.S. economic growth will accelerate during Obama's second term, driven by cash-rich companies including top ranked Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B), Apple, Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Cisco (CSCO) and Google (GOOG). Naturally, that would also bode well for the performance of the shares of those companies. At such time, many had expressed skepticism about future economic growth during Obama's second term, as economic growth during Obama's first term had averaged +0.7% annually (but ultimately came in at +0.9% once Q4-2012 GDP results were actually published).

With half of Obama's second term behind us now, U.S. real GDP growth rate has averaged about 2.2% annually in 2013 and 2014*, a marked improvement over the first presidential term. Meanwhile, Fitch is now expecting U.S. GDP growth of 3.1% in 2015 and... Complete Story

Is It Time To Sell Microsoft?

By: Bachar Samawi

December 8, 2014 10:10:34

Since the start of the year, Microsoft (MSFT) has added almost $90 billion in market capitalization, as its shares have appreciated by about 33% from $36.41 on December 31, 2013 (on a split and dividend adjusted basis) to $48.42 on December 5, 2014. Microsoft market capitalization today stands at $399 billion, higher than the annual GDP of oil rich United Arab Emirates and Thailand (according to the World Bank). It ranks as the second largest U.S. company after Apple (AAPL) ($674 billion) and ahead of Exxon (XOM) ($397 billion). This year alone, the $90 billion increase in Microsoft's market capitalization is larger than oil rich Oman's 2013 GDP of about $80 billion. Can Microsoft shares maintain such gains and appreciate much further, or is it time to sell?... Complete Story

Up 64%, Is Apple Supplier Broadcom Still A Buy?

By: Bachar Samawi

December 2, 2014 11:37:45

This article is the third in a series of four articles dedicated to following up on our October 15, 2013 article "4 suppliers and an ETF set for Apple boost", whereby we recommended buying Apple, Inc. (AAPL) in addition to its suppliers Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS), Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM), Micron Technology Inc. (MU) and Broadcom Corp. (BRCM). Furthermore, we also recommended buying Vanguard total stock market index fund (VTI).

Since the publication of such article, Broadcom shares have appreciated by 64.56% (on a dividend and split adjusted basis) from from $26.21 on October 14, 2013 to to $43.13 on November 28, 2014. In the first article of the series, "Up 169%, is Apple supplier Skyworks still a buy?", we provided our current outlook on Skyworks, while... Complete Sory

Up 110%, Is Apple Supplier Micron Still A Buy?

By: Bachar Samawi

December 2, 2014 11:00:17

This article is the second in a series of four articles dedicated to following up on our October 15, 2013 article "4 suppliers and an ETF set for Apple boost", whereby we recommended buying Apple, Inc. (AAPL) in addition to its suppliers Skyworks Solutions Inc. (SWKS), Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM), Micron Technology Inc. (MU) and Broadcom Corp. (BRCM). Furthermore, we also recommended buying Vanguard total stock market index fund (VTI)..... Complete Story...

Apple Tastes Better By The Slice

By: Bachar Samawi

October 11, 2013 11:50:32

We recently published an article On October 7, 2013 titled: "Apple at $800: flight delay or cancellation?", where we pointed out that Apple, Inc. shares (AAPL) boast an attractive adjusted forward price/earning (P/E) ratio of 7.48 for the year ending September 2014 and 8.18 for the year ending September 2013.Adjusted forward P/E ratio was calculated by excluding .... Complete Story...

Apple Can Print Its Own Money. Amazon Too?

By Bachar Samawi

Wednesday Oct 24, 2012

What is money? According to the Merriam-Webster dictionary, money is "something generally accepted as a medium of exchange, a measure of value, or a means of payment." Most importantly, money also functions as a store of value, whereby it "must be able to be saved and retrieved at a later time, and be predictably useful when retrieved."... Complete Story